MetroVote 简体中文
公开试运行资料持续补充 · 名单日期见各选举页查看范围 ↗
SOURCE NOTE

MetroVote 民调平均:NDP 39.0%,保守党 43.3%,绿党 10.8%

专题研究依据计算截至 2026-10-22 · 最新调查结束 10月19日

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中文阅读稿

本站摘要

截至 2026-10-22,纳入 8 家机构各自最新且调查结束不超过 14 天的全省民调。最新调查结束于 10月19日。权重为总未加权样本量的平方根乘以时间衰减,每 7 天减半;最后一步四舍五入至一位小数。保留其他党分母,不将三党重新归一化。

网页阅读摘录

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)当时页面所见
Decided and leaning voters (n=723) 46% BC Conservatives 43% BC NDP BC Greens 8%Other 3% The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI.
MetroVote 计算;原始调查:ARI、INNOVATIVE、Mainstreet、Leger、Research Co.、Ipsos、Pallas、Liaison
这份证据能说明什么

这是描述性加权平均,非席位或胜率预测,无合并误差区间,也不直接校正机构偏差。各家已决定/倾向的追问及访问对象并不完全相同。Pollara 最新一期未取得可核对的原始书面数据,未纳入。输入与权重保存在同一已发布记录,并依赖各份调查的确切修订;来源更正会撤回衍生平均。

查看来源版本与定位
记录修订
c2fbfe00-91dd-4efc-99b7-eea17b349e8c
网页阅读时间
2026-10-22T00:45:03+00:00
页面位置
Methodology and downloads

这是一条当时网页阅读记录,本站没有保存整页 HTML,也没有原网页字节哈希。

各字段的原文依据

attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Liaison Strategies

British Columbia Political Tracker Field Dates: October 7–8, 2026 Provincial Voting Intention (Decided and Leaning) Total, gender, age, and region. Gender Age Region Weighted Sample Size Unweighted Sample Size BC NDP BC Conservatives BC Greens CentreBC OneBC Other Total 882 882 37% 43% 10% 3% 4% 4%

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Leger

7 Detailed Results Provincial Voting Intentions (Among Decided Voters) Q. If a BC Provincial election were held here in BC tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for? Base: Decided voters (Weighted: n=816 ; Unweighted: n=832) Other 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2%

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Research Co.

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Metro Vancouver Fraser Valley Southern BC Northern BC Vancouver Island Total N=808 N=403 N=405 N=204 N=286 N=318 N=465 N=83 N=109 N=39 N=112 Total (Unweighted) N=808 N=400 N=408 N=197 N=285 N=326 N=440 N=86 N=119 N=44 N=119 Poll conducted by Research Co. on Politics in British Columbia - October 13, 2026 Sample Specifications British Columbia GENDER AGE REGION

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Liaison Strategies

British Columbia Political Tracker Field Dates: October 7–8, 2026 If a British Columbia provincial election were held today, which party would you be most likely to vote for? Total, gender, age, and region. Gender Age Region Weighted Sample Size Unweighted Sample Size BC NDP BC Conservatives BC Greens CentreBC OneBC Other Undecided Total 1,000 1,000 28% 34% 7% 2% 3% 3% 23%

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Mainstreet Research

If a provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for? [Undecideds removed] Results broken out by gender and age Gender Age Response Total Male Female Non-binary 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Eby, NDP 36.0% Doerkson, Conservative 41.7% Lowan, Green 14.6% Centre BC Party / Elenore Sturko 2.6% One BC / Dallas Brodie 5.0% Unweighted Freq 869 395 440 34 47 99 187 536 Weighted Freq 858 414 412 32 188 213 231 226

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Research Co.

Decided Voters Conservative Party of BC 44% 43% 45% 47% 43% 41% 45% 49% 44% 55% 34% 13% 83% 25% 17% 85% 14% BC New Democratic Party (NDP) 42% 42% 43% 31% 41% 52% 43% 43% 40% 39% 52% 81% 6% 12% 71% 5% 78% BC Green Party 8% 8% 7% 14% 8% 4% 7% 3% 10% 6% 10% 4% 4% 51% 8% 4% 5%

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Mainstreet Research

British Columbia Survey Field Dates: October 17-18th, 2026 | N = 907 residents (18+) Weighted by region, and by gender, age & education within region · MoE ±3.3%, 19 times out of 20 mainstreetresearch.ca | [email protected] Margin of Error: ±3.3%, 19 times out of 20

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · INNOVATIVE Research Group

5 The findings in this report are based on an online British Columbia survey conducted and sponsored by INNOVATIVE Research Group Inc. WHO? WHEN? HOW? HOW MANY? British Columbia adults (18+) Weighted regional profile • 59.5% Lower Mainland / Fraser Valley • 18.7% Vancouver Island • 21.8% Interior / North 1,153 unweighted respondents Final results weighted to n=1,000 Results reported using the weighted sample October 15–19, 2026 Online survey Conducted and sponsored by INNOVATIVE Research Group Inc. Survey Methodology: BC Sample BC-only pre-election public-opinion survey

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Leger

Methodology Online survey among BC residents 18 years of age or older: n=1,000. Respondents were randomly recruited using LEO's online panel. 2 Methodology When Data collection from October 9-12, 2026 Where available, results are compared to previous waves of research. Margin of Error For comparison purposes, a probability sample of n=1,000 yields a margin of error no greater than ±3.1% (19 times out of 20) for the total BC sample. Weighting Results were weighted according to age, gender, region, and education in order to ensure a representative sample of the population of BC. Methodology

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · INNOVATIVE Research Group

Decided Vote: BC Conservatives lead by 5 points among decided voters If a provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for? In that case, which party do you lean toward slightly? [DECIDED] [asked of decided voters only; n=908] 2013-Mar 2013-Jun 2013-Sep 2013-Dec 2014-Mar 2014-Jun 2014-Sep 2014-Dec 2015-Mar 2015-Jun 2015-Sep 2015-Dec 2016-Mar 2016-Jun 2016-Sep 2016-Dec 2017-Mar 2017-Jun 2017-Sep 2017-Dec 2018-Mar 2018-Jun 2018-Sep 2018-Dec 2019-Mar 2019-Jun 2019-Sep 2019-Dec 2020-Mar 2020-Jun 2020-Sep 2020-Dec 2021-Mar 2021-Jun 2021-Sep 2021-Dec 2022-Mar 2022-Jun 2022-Sep 2022-Dec 2023-Mar 2023-Jun 2023-Sep 2023-Dec 2024-Mar 2024-Jun 2024-Sep 2024-Dec 2025-Mar 2025-Jun 2025-Sep 2025-Dec 2026-Mar 2026-Jun 2026-Sep BC United / BC Liberal NDP BC Conservative Green Other 31% 43% 12% 11% 2% 38% 43% 12% 7% 7 NDP Government (David Eby) NDP Government (John Horgan) Liberal Government (Christy Clark)

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Pallas Data

Among decided and leaning voters, the Conservatives under interim leader Lorne Doerkson have 43%. The BC NDP under Premier David Eby has 38%. The Greens, led by Emily Lowan, are at 11%

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Provincial voting intention

网页阅读记录 web:23df7401-3d43-448d-997c-3016ab418d92

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Ipsos

These are the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted in partnership with Global BC from October 7 to 11, 2026. For this survey, a sample of 1,356 adult British Columbians were surveyed both online through sample sourced through the Ipsos panel (n=1,001) and by phone with live interviewers (n=350) using both cellphones and landlines.

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · About the Study

网页阅读记录 web:4b8e32b2-94b3-4440-a7f0-79c5746fbf15

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, quote, summary, title, topic · Angus Reid Institute

The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from October 15–19, 2026, among a randomized sample of 793 British Columbian adults who are members of the Angus Reid Forum.

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Methodology and downloads

网页阅读记录 web:92c26982-f70b-40f3-be60-0a2abd08962d

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Pallas Data

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on October 10th-11th, 2026 among a sample of 513 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia and eligible to vote in provincial elections.

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Methodology

网页阅读记录 web:b141bcc8-a461-4904-b893-dcc118ee7b00

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, quote, summary, title, topic · Angus Reid Institute

Decided and leaning voters (n=723) 46% BC Conservatives 43% BC NDP BC Greens 8%Other 3% The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI.

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Provincial vote intention; Methodology and downloads

网页阅读记录 web:cf6524b1-5496-40f3-8caa-38d6035a8643

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Research Co.

Results are based on an online survey conducted from October 9 to October 11, 2026, among 808 likely voters in British Columbia, including 687 decided voters in the 2026 provincial election.

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Methodology

网页阅读记录 web:e075598e-a379-4ddb-b553-725d13ab37b1

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attribution, boundary, date, date_label, poll_average, summary, title, topic · Ipsos

The BC Conservatives now have the support of 43% (up 1) of decided voters, which puts them 5-points ahead of the BC NDP at 38% (down 2). The BC Greens are next best at 11% (up 1)

2026-10-21(温哥华时间)阅读 · Voter Support

网页阅读记录 web:ec32db5c-f367-40c3-ba22-91fe7429da97

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